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• 실업률이 자연 이자율에 접근 한 후 몇 년 동안 회복이 계속된다는 의미에서 미국은 연착륙을 경험한 적이 역사 전반에 걸쳐 한 번도 없습니다.
• 최근의 수익률 곡선 반전이, 15 %의 위험보다는 25 %의 위험을 예고하는, 경기 침체를 예고하는 것을 부정하는 것은 어리석은 일입니다.
• 중앙 은행의 신속하고 협조적인 행동이 큰 공헌을 한 것은 의심의 여지가 없지만, 저금리가 계속되는 것이나, 또한 마이너스 금리가 전망되면, 기업이나 개인의 경제에 대한 불안을 높이고 투자를 꺼리는 요인으로 작용할 것이라는 우려가 있습니다 .
Major U.S. stock indexes fell…
Bond Market Flashes Recession Warning, Stocks Drop : NPR [www.npr.org]
The Financial Times reports that the yield curve inverted, albeit by just 1 basis point:
Uh oh…
The Yield Curve Inverted [seekingalpha.com]
The U.S. Treasury market, the biggest and most liquid in the world which is a benchmark and safe…
David Chance: 'Bond market inversion is early red flag for recession' [www.independent.ie]
If you are anything else besides the yield curve today, the market doesn't care. After inverting…
Yield Curve, Yield Curve, Yield Curve [seekingalpha.com]
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York,…
The Yield Curve Just Inverted, Putting The Chance Of A Recession At 30% [www.forbes.com]
Open Wiki
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3/25 '19
answered
The stock market tumbled Friday as investors took in an ominous warning sign: Interest rates on long-term government debt fell below the rate on short-term bills.
— NPR (@NPR) March 23, 2019
That's often a signal that a recession is on the horizon. https://t.co/Df6bxtjg6q
Open Wiki
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3/25 '19
answered
So, it looks like, if it continues to invert for three months, it's an even stronger indicator. Really interesting. I had no idea https://t.co/VgsidXyTp1
— Rio Slade (@RioSlade) March 25, 2019
It is sad. I don't mean to add more to that, but in the near future, there is also this. I figure it is better to know what is coming and prepare than not to know.https://t.co/WHxf4G4CgC
— Sally Hansley Odum (@sallyodum) March 25, 2019